Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.031718 0.034095 0.036473 0.039024 0.041683 0.044367 0.047279
2025-09-21 0.026728 0.030446 0.034290 0.038546 0.043111 0.047845 0.053112
2025-09-28 0.023131 0.027548 0.032231 0.037532 0.043336 0.049468 0.056404
2025-10-05 0.021587 0.026636 0.032095 0.038382 0.045370 0.052852 0.061420
2025-10-12 0.019862 0.025350 0.031396 0.038470 0.046443 0.055080 0.065075
2025-10-19 0.018291 0.024114 0.030642 0.038392 0.047237 0.056922 0.068234
2025-10-26 0.017392 0.023581 0.030624 0.039089 0.048852 0.059634 0.072323
2025-11-02 0.016318 0.022766 0.030219 0.039286 0.049850 0.061615 0.075560
2025-11-09 0.015246 0.021891 0.029687 0.039286 0.050579 0.063257 0.078386
2025-11-16 0.014281 0.021092 0.029200 0.039297 0.051285 0.064845 0.081128
2025-11-23 0.013306 0.020228 0.028591 0.039123 0.051743 0.066121 0.083491
2025-11-30 0.012455 0.019476 0.028082 0.039038 0.052278 0.067464 0.085912
2025-12-07 0.011367 0.018403 0.027181 0.038501 0.052320 0.068295 0.087828
2025-12-14 0.010374 0.017416 0.026360 0.038045 0.052453 0.069238 0.089892
2025-12-21 0.009231 0.016157 0.025137 0.037039 0.051876 0.069308 0.090901
2025-12-28 0.008941 0.016056 0.025395 0.037881 0.053548 0.072043 0.095045
2026-01-04 0.008373 0.015532 0.025074 0.037969 0.054275 0.073641 0.097837
2026-01-11 0.007784 0.014943 0.024642 0.037891 0.054781 0.074959 0.100290
2026-01-18 0.007519 0.014812 0.024812 0.038583 0.056241 0.077427 0.104112
2026-01-25 0.007095 0.014420 0.024611 0.038779 0.057068 0.079121 0.107008
2026-02-01 0.006632 0.013943 0.024273 0.038778 0.057636 0.080492 0.109509
2026-02-08 0.006203 0.013495 0.023956 0.038789 0.058206 0.081858 0.112001
2026-02-15 0.005745 0.012972 0.023513 0.038617 0.058530 0.082913 0.114109